MathIntee Political Post

The Biden blame game

What was the real original sin?

Jul 19 • 

Tomas McIntee

3

May 2025

Vice presidents usually don't win elections

Did Trump make a mistake by picking Vance? Did Kamala make a mistake by picking Walz?

May 31 • 

Tomas McIntee

1

Meritocracy, mediocrity, & midwits

The Democrats have a problem, and literary logic won't get them out of it

May 17 • 

Tomas McIntee

2

December 2024

Why affirmative action failed

A postmortem on a failed social experiment

Dec 27, 2024 • 

Tomas McIntee

2

Did Harris lose because of Gaza?

A thorny question with an unfashionable answer

Dec 1, 2024 • 

Tomas McIntee

1

November 2024

I didn't beat the polls

But the polls did have some weirdness in them

Nov 24, 2024 • 

Tomas McIntee

1

How did we get here?

A period of political realignment and dysfunction

Nov 16, 2024 • 

Tomas McIntee

2

I told you so: Democrats made a bad bet

Kamala Harris underperformed; don't defend the decision.

Nov 9, 2024 • 

Tomas McIntee

1

Back to the basics: Election forecasts

Historical baseline models

Nov 1, 2024 • 

Tomas McIntee

August 2024

Can we trust polls anymore?

Only as far as you can throw them.

Aug 17, 2024 • 

Tomas McIntee

July 2024

Defining the Horseshoe Caucus

Using vote records to test the horseshoe theory

Jul 13, 2024 • 

Tomas McIntee

1

Echoes of 1892, 1948, 1968, and 1984...

What history can tell us about the 2024 election

Jul 4, 2024 • 

Tomas McIntee

2